The Baseline
Where every deal opens.0/10PIPELINE+
Five sliders on the floor. Pure story, zero proof · not a bad deal, just an unwritten one. Most pipeline lives closer to here than anyone admits.
The move Start with Outcome. Get one number the buyer would defend out loud, and the rest has something to hang on.
The Mirage
All feeling, no fact.5/10PIPELINE+
Everything sounds right and nothing is proven · the whole deal is balanced on sentiment. The most dangerous read on the board, because it feels safe. Happy ears.
The move Pick the softest movement and turn one Feeling into a Fact this week. Sentiment doesn't survive a deal review · evidence does.
The Lock
Inspectable end to end.10/10COMMIT
Every movement carries buyer evidence. There is nothing here you'd have to interpret or hope for. This is what a commit is actually supposed to look like.
The move Forecast it and protect it. Keep the buyer action, the exec linkage and the milestones explicit straight through close · clean deals rot quietly.
Executive Air Cover
Low score. Still committable.6/10BEST CASELeadership carry
Middle of the road everywhere · but the economic buyer is on the record and willing to own the call. A peer-level sponsor can carry a deal past partial gaps the rest of the board can't. A six that closes like an eight.
The move Confirm the sponsor will actually spend their capital, then ride it · and quietly tighten the soft movements behind them so the carry never gets tested.
The Front-Loader
Great discovery. No power.6/10BEST CASE
Strong on the left, falling off a cliff at Leadership. You built a real case and never got it to anyone who can sign. The most common place a deal stalls right before commit.
The move Stop adding to the case. Spend everything on the executive introduction · the proof you already have is the thing that earns it.
The Parachute
Top-down, thin underneath.6/10BEST CASE
An exec wants it and the money's named · but the discovery underneath is hollow. Fast to start, easy to unravel the moment someone below the sponsor asks a real question.
The move Use the executive air-cover to earn the discovery you skipped. Anchor an Outcome the working team will defend before the sponsor's patience runs out.
The Saddle
Bought in. Paperwork missing.6/10BEST CASE
Outcome, Insight and Leadership are all real · the buyer is genuinely in. What's missing is the Mutual Action Plan and the cost-of-delay math · and those are your lift, not their resistance. The most fixable deal on the board.
The move Draft the MAP and the number and send them for redlines. One round of edits from the buyer turns both zeros into twos · this is blocking and tackling, not selling.
The Spire
A brilliant conversation.4/10PIPELINE+
All the insight in the world, spiking in the middle · anchored to no outcome and no executive. It's a great meeting that hasn't become a deal yet. Reps fall in love with this one.
The move Walk the insight back to a business outcome someone will fund, then forward to the person who funds it. Brilliance without an owner is just content.
The Canyon
Strong ends, hollow middle.6/10BEST CASE
Outcome and executive locked at both ends · but the proof and the math in the middle are empty. It looks committed and reads confident, and it's one sharp CFO question away from collapse.
The move Fill the center before the room does it for you. Put a real number and a real insight between the outcome and the sponsor · that's where this deal is actually decided.